Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 8.011291 9.020844 10.070143 11.239017 12.501541 13.821024 15.301163
2024-10-27 6.082626 7.458212 8.971502 10.746850 12.759472 14.957562 17.526773
2024-11-03 5.255750 6.855420 8.687702 10.914919 13.521993 16.450958 19.963503
2024-11-10 4.647561 6.399894 8.478117 11.080573 14.207757 17.801428 22.198875
2024-11-17 4.021572 5.840378 8.071162 10.944045 14.480552 18.628607 23.796308
2024-11-24 3.582467 5.462539 7.839512 10.977291 14.921423 19.628824 25.582294
2024-12-01 3.181404 5.090163 7.575765 10.935168 15.241269 20.463872 27.160104
2024-12-08 2.849196 4.776014 7.356901 10.922816 15.576594 21.303706 28.737697
2024-12-15 2.774967 4.812422 7.597579 11.506329 16.672121 23.093725 31.499785
2024-12-22 2.512808 4.552785 7.414547 11.510217 17.007960 23.927090 33.077696
2024-12-29 2.447109 4.576647 7.620007 12.036180 18.028847 25.635438 35.766129
2025-01-05 2.328487 4.508216 7.686419 12.366746 18.791086 27.018774 38.057082
2025-01-12 2.048790 4.168653 7.348652 12.128822 18.794550 27.435960 39.144574
2025-01-19 1.727527 3.730110 6.836352 11.617561 18.405224 27.325727 39.546127
2025-01-26 1.609836 3.619905 6.808721 11.794426 18.955481 28.449960 41.548470
2025-02-02 1.502409 3.516894 6.783902 11.969541 19.501192 29.570662 43.554697
2025-02-09 1.336293 3.292017 6.552574 11.825270 19.588120 30.071909 44.747605
2025-02-16 1.222437 3.151427 6.446197 11.860404 19.924340 30.907860 46.385995
2025-02-23 1.104124 2.989498 6.293846 11.815890 20.139643 31.576721 47.804249
2025-03-02 1.002308 2.848723 6.167120 11.802836 20.395112 32.298803 49.296429
2025-03-09 1.013085 2.939261 6.437736 12.419240 21.581572 34.317960 52.552036
2025-03-16 0.924743 2.812980 6.325884 12.423346 21.861664 35.080562 54.114860
2025-03-23 0.926604 2.880632 6.555864 12.978538 22.966903 37.002931 57.265513